Last Edited: 12/2/2012 12:26:44 PM by ts1227

UPDATE (12:45 ET): The coaches poll is out and it's bad news for NIU. Kind of. The current BCS projection has them 17th, but only .005 behind No. 15 UCLA. Yes, you read that right. No. 15. Nebraska has fallen to 16th, wedged in that tight space between the two.

The Huskies only had a 95 point lead over UCLA. That means to catch UCLA, based on my current computer ranking projections, they would need to have a 291 point lead over the Bruins in the Harris poll to pass them. That's an average of a 2.5 spot difference per voter.

Passing Nebraska might now be easier. Again, based on my current computer projections, NIU would need a 394 point margin over the Huskers to pass them in the BCS.

And if the computers projections are closer for NIU, then they need less juice in the polls. One spot in a computer that matters, going either direction, is the equivalent of 29 Harris poll points.

Last Edited: 12/2/2012 12:56:01 PM by BleedinBobcat

9mBrad Edwards ‏@JBradEdwards

It's so close that if I tweak a couple of computer spots for NIU, they go from 17th to 15th.

 

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9mBrad Edwards ‏@JBradEdwards

Now with coaches' poll numbers, I have it very, very close in the 15-17 spots with UCLA, Nebraska and Northern Illinois

 

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Last Edited: 12/2/2012 12:57:19 PM by ts1227

ts1227 wrote:

BleedinBobcat wrote: ts1227 wrote: Boise holds at 15 in coaches poll, NIU jumps to 16. Nebraska freefell to 21, Louisville sneaks up to 18, I know it doesn't factor in BCS but often DOES reflects Harris and USA Today which do, the new AP Poll has: Northern at 16  Boise at 20 Kent State at 25 If that holds, Northern and the MAC are BCS-bowl bound! http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankingsAP Poll has Northern Apparently Brad Edwards tweeted that with the Coaches Poll figured in, he has spots 15-17 VERY tight between UCLA, Nebraska,  NIU  Brad Edwards ‏@JBradEdwards Only thing making me keep NIU at 17 is that last week, their better poll was coaches. UCLA and Nebraska's better poll a week ago was Harris   Expand   Reply   Retweet   Favorite 9mBrad Edwards ‏@JBradEdwards It's so close that if I tweak a couple of computer spots for NIU, they go from 17th to 15th.   Expand 9mBrad Edwards ‏@JBradEdwards Now with coaches' poll numbers, I have it very, very close in the 15-17 spots with UCLA, Nebraska and Northern Illinois   Expand

UPDATE (12:45 ET): The coaches poll is out and it's bad news for NIU. Kind of. The current BCS projection has them 17th, but only .005 behind No. 15 UCLA. Yes, you read that right. No. 15. Nebraska has fallen to 16th, wedged in that tight space between the two.

The Huskies only had a 95 point lead over UCLA. That means to catch UCLA, based on my current computer ranking projections, they would need to have a 291 point lead over the Bruins in the Harris poll to pass them. That's an average of a 2.5 spot difference per voter.

Passing Nebraska might now be easier. Again, based on my current computer projections, NIU would need a 394 point margin over the Huskers to pass them in the BCS.

And if the computers projections are closer for NIU, then they need less juice in the polls. One spot in a computer that matters, going either direction, is the equivalent of 29 Harris poll points.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/blog/jerry-palm/21224824/projected-bcs-niu-lands-bcs-bowl-spot-for-now

 

Last Edited: 12/2/2012 1:05:01 PM by BleedinBobcat