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Topic:  College basketball budgets

Topic:  College basketball budgets
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Mike Coleman
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  Message Not Read  College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/16/2026 5:38:40 PM 
We don't seem underfunded in the MAC according to this metric.

https://www.extrapointsmb.com/p/here-s-what-it-costs-to-m...
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FJC31
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/16/2026 5:46:24 PM 
Mike Coleman wrote:
We don't seem underfunded in the MAC according to this metric.

https://www.extrapointsmb.com/p/here-s-what-it-costs-to-m...


Just one below Akron.
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GraffZ06
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/16/2026 6:52:20 PM 
Mike Coleman wrote:
We don't seem underfunded in the MAC according to this metric.

https://www.extrapointsmb.com/p/here-s-what-it-costs-to-m...


Very cool data aggregation. But it misses the mark on a couple of areas.

1) It, self admittedly, does NOT include external donor or NIL funds. This is strictly university athletic department allocation of dollars. It's a great starting point - but is hardly the full picture.

2) I appreciated the cost per wins concept. It's something many people borrow over from the pro sports world. It works in the pros though because everyone is in the same "league". They play and compete against equivalent teams and schedules, so a win for team A is equivalent to a win for Team B. That is NOT the case for d1 basketball. 31 wins in the MAC isn't the same as 31 wins in the ACC (ask Miami or Duke) or 31 wins in the SWAC.

I think a better analysis would be a correlation of $ spent vs. Trank (or insert your favorite analytical ranking).

So....I'll do just that tonight. Check back for results.
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FishBates
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/16/2026 7:15:43 PM 
GraffZ06 wrote:
Mike Coleman wrote:
We don't seem underfunded in the MAC according to this metric.

https://www.extrapointsmb.com/p/here-s-what-it-costs-to-m...


Very cool data aggregation. But it misses the mark on a couple of areas.

1) It, self admittedly, does NOT include external donor or NIL funds. This is strictly university athletic department allocation of dollars. It's a great starting point - but is hardly the full picture.

2) I appreciated the cost per wins concept. It's something many people borrow over from the pro sports world. It works in the pros though because everyone is in the same "league". They play and compete against equivalent teams and schedules, so a win for team A is equivalent to a win for Team B. That is NOT the case for d1 basketball. 31 wins in the MAC isn't the same as 31 wins in the ACC (ask Miami or Duke) or 31 wins in the SWAC.

I think a better analysis would be a correlation of $ spent vs. Trank (or insert your favorite analytical ranking).

So....I'll do just that tonight. Check back for results.


Looking at Torvik (you can use KenPom or whoever you like)
Ole Miss was 4-14 in the SEC and they are the 64th best team in the nation
Miami(OH) was 18-0 in the MAC and they are the 86th best team in the nation

Sort of makes minced meat of the "a win is a win is a win" theory.

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GraffZ06
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/16/2026 7:20:32 PM 
FishBates wrote:

Looking at Torvik (you can use KenPom or whoever you like)
Ole Miss was 4-14 in the SEC and they are the 64th best team in the nation
Miami(OH) was 18-0 in the MAC and they are the 86th best team in the nation

Sort of makes minced meat of the "a win is a win is a win" theory.


Right. Exactly.
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Bobcat1996
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/16/2026 8:28:06 PM 
Just a wild guess, but about 15 months ago when the Bobcats dominated Miami in Detroit for the conference football championship, they were not the top budget wise football program. I would venture to say they were in the middle of the pack. I know NiL spending was not even close to Toledo, WMU and a few others.
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GraffZ06
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/17/2026 1:20:17 AM 

Above shows scatter plot of 2024-25 NCAA budgets (for the 205 schools from the original link) plotted against their 2024-25 TRank per Torvik (so last year).  Light green is the trendline.  Green dot is OU. Red dots are rest of the MAC teams.  Obviously it's better to be on the bottom/left of the trendline as it means you're ranking is lower for less money spent.

Observations.

1) The more you spend, the better you can expect to be on average (positive correlation - not shocking).

2) Given the equation of the trendline (I'd be interested in re-running this with multiple years of data to see how variable it is) - we can predict on average how much you "should" spend to end up with a given ranking.  Some of those are listed below. I included every 25, plus 40 since that's roughly around the ranking for NCAA bubble teams:
 

TRank Expected Budget ($M)
25 $17.455
40 $14.095
50 $12.501
75 $9.603
100 $7.547
125 $5.952
150 $4.649
175 $3.547

 

Based on this, last year Ohio spent $4.057M, which should have given them an expected TRank of 162.9.  Our actual TRank last year was 178 so we underperformed by -15.1 (and is why we are just above/to the right the trendline).  That's not great, but it's not terrible either.  I ranked all 205 schools as a function of their expected TRank based on their budgets versus their actual TRank - and sorted by the delta.  This is essentially an efficiency ranking showing how good your team was for an amount of money spent (the $ per win concept but normalized for opponents/tempo etc).

Ohio ranked #110 out of 205 schools listed.

Here's how the other MAC schools compared:

School Rank Delta $ xTRank TRank
Kent St 9 +81.1 $2.843 193.1 112
Akron 23 +62.8 $4.065 162.8 100
Miami OH 33 +48.5 $2.901 191.5 143
Ohio 110 -15.1 $4.057 162.9 178
C Michigan 112 -18.8 $2.549 201.2 220
E Michigan 148 -60.8 $2.410 205.2 266
Toledo 151 -65.4 $3.167 184.6 250
Ball St 157 -72.4 $2.572 200.6 273
W Michigan 158 -73.5 $2.398 205.5 279
Bowling Green 161 -80.8 $2.838 193.2 274
UMass 179 -104.2 $6.314 118.8 223
N Illinois 204 -172.9 $3.501 176.1 349
Buffalo 205 -193.7 $4.538 152.3 346

MAC Averages: Budget $3.396M, xTRank = 180.6, Actual TRank = 231.7

 

If you were curious about how all the schools ranked based on ranking efficiency (the difference between actual and expected TRank) here's the top 30:

Rank School Delta (xTrank-Trank)
1 McNeese St +126.5
2 UC San Diego +116.4
3 Utah Valley +106.9
4 Northern Colorado +96.3
5 North Dakota St +95.2
6 Nicholls St +93.5
7 Boise St +86.3
8 New Mexico +84.1
9 Kent St +81.1
10 Texas A&M Corpus Christi +73.4
11 UC Irvine +72.1
12 North Texas +72.0
13 Kennessaw St +70.6
14 New Mexico St +69.8
15 Omaha +69.7
16 Lamar +67.9
17 Northern Iowa +67.4
18 Louisiana Tech +65.6
19 Illinois St +65.2
20 South Dakota St +64.8
21 VCU +64.3
22 Colorado St +63.4
23 Akron +62.8
24 UNC Wilmington +60.7
25 Utah St +60.0
26 Sam Houston St +55.5
27 Arkansas St +55.1
28 Radford +54.5
29 Iowa St +54.4
30 Washington St +52.7

 

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GraffZ06
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/17/2026 1:25:59 AM 
$10M more per year will make us a perennial NCAA bubble team (on average).

More realistically I think would be to shoot for being a Top 100 or Top 125 team on average. That's top 1-3 in MAC depending on the year.

Based on above, that's somewhere between a $6M-$8M budget. We spend $4M.

Time to find that missing $2-4M per year. Or a nice $40-50M lump sum donation could work too.

Last Edited: 3/17/2026 1:30:33 AM by GraffZ06

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Bobcat Tattoo
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  Message Not Read  RE: College basketball budgets
   Posted: 3/17/2026 9:38:44 PM 
^^^Now THIS is the type of in-depth analysis that I love to see on BA! Well done Graff, I can only imagine it took a good chunk of time to put this all together.

Seems like our budget is essentially tied for 3rd in the MAC. While we underperformed slightly last year, we underperformed noticeably less than 8 other MAC teams (including 2 teams who had similar budgets to us but somehow finished around 350th). Only 3 MAC teams ranked “positively” in efficiency.

I like the efficiency table at the end too. IMO you can kind of view it as a proxy for which teams have good coaches (especially if teams are consistently at the top of this table for several years).

Edit - I guess you could also view it as a proxy for NIL funds, since those aren’t included in the budget numbers.

Good stuff!

Last Edited: 3/17/2026 9:45:59 PM by Bobcat Tattoo

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