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Topic: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Topic: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

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Andrew Ruck
General User

Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 5,233

Status: Offline

Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/16/2011 8:14:21 AM

Compliments of the fine folks over at MAC Pick Em...The Percentage of correct picks from the conference's most loyal fans involving each team:

Toledo - .828
Central Mich - .767
Kent State - .747
Ball State - .705
Northern Ill - .704
Miami - .645
Eastern Mich - .636
Akron - .604
Western Mich - .584
Bowling Green - .512
Buffalo - .477
Ohio - .448

The majority has picked correctly in only 4 Bobcat games (EMU, NIU, Toledo, & WMU). So when the Bobcats are playing (particularly when they're playing the East)...Expect the unexpected!

Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

OUs LONG Driver
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Copley, OH
Post Count: 678

Status: Offline

RE: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/16/2011 8:56:21 AM

There was or maybe still is a weekly updated article on ESPN about who to bet on based on past performances against the spread. We have been one of the two worst teams in the entire country in point differential from the spread for about 6-8 weeks if I remember right. I think we were around -6.0 from the predicted point spread on average. That might be viewed as the 2nd most underachieving team int he entire country or perhaps the 2nd most overrated team in the entire country. Either way last nights big win and +15 points from the spread may drop us off that dreaded list. Huge win last night.

JSF
General User

Member Since: 1/29/2005
Location: Houston, TX
Post Count: 6,554

Status: Offline

RE: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/16/2011 11:49:36 AM

We almost certainly have the highest variance of any team in the conference.

"Loyalty to a hometown or city is fleeting and interchangeable, but college is a stamp of identity."- Kyle Whelliston, One Beautiful Season.

My blog about depression and mental illness: https://bit.ly/3buGXH8

bigtillyoopsupsideurhead
General User

Member Since: 12/1/2006
Location: Cincinnati
Post Count: 1,926

Status: Offline

RE: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/16/2011 11:55:27 AM

I think I had us pegged with 3 MAC losses at this point; at Akron, at Ball State, and at Buffalo. We are a very hard team to figure out.

Andrew Ruck
General User

Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 5,233

Status: Offline

RE: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/16/2011 1:31:33 PM

The "crap the bed" losses are only part of the equation. Few had us winning at Akron & Buffalo. Had we pulled off the buzzer beater at WMU, it'd be even more drastic.

Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

anorris
General User

Member Since: 7/6/2010
Location: Bristol, CT
Post Count: 2,262

Status: Offline

RE: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/16/2011 2:41:06 PM

The MAC is a wacky conference. I like how Matt Sussman over at Hustle Belt put it this morning:

Matt Sussman wrote:

� Kent State is the best team.
� Toledo is the worst team.
� There are, I think, 10 other teams in the conference.

oubobcatjohn
General User

Member Since: 1/1/2005
Post Count: 825

Status: Offline

RE: Ohio Toughest Team to Predict

Posted: 2/17/2011 1:55:28 AM

Home loses-8
Oakland- (leads Summit)
Marshall (middle CUSA)
IUPUI (2nd in Summit)
Temple (top of A-10)
Robert Morris (ot loss) (middle of NEC this year)
Miami (3 ot loss)
Kent State
Buffalo

Home wins-8
Delaware (middle CAA)
Texas A&M-C.C. (bottom of Southland)
Valporiso (leads Horizon)
St Francis-pa (bottom NEC)
Norfolk State (middle MEAC)
EMU
NIU
Toledo

Road/neutral court wins-5
Santa Clara (competive in WCC this year)
Illinois State (bottom of MVC)
Akron
Ball State
Buffalo

road/nuetral court loses-5
Kansas (current #1 team in the country)
St Bonaventure (4 ot loss) (middle A-10)
BGSU
CMU
WMU- (2 point loss)

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