Mid-American
March 8, 10-12. First round at higher seed. Remainder at Cleveland.

Throw out the seeds in this one. The conference that sent its nine-seed to the NCAA tournament last season to disembowel Georgetown in the first round produces the most unusual breakdown I’ve seen in five seasons of doing this. Much like in the Sun Belt, there’s plenty of parity at the top of the MAC. Unlike the Sun Belt, the MAC’s favorite is an eight-seed, closely followed by its six-seed. And there’s this: Eighth-seeded Buffalo has about a one-in-five chance of cutting down the nets at the Q, while ninth-seeded Central Michigan has a one-in-2000 chance of doing so. Enjoy!

                       Rd1   Semis   Final   Champ
 8 Buffalo            92.6    50.2    32.0    20.4
 6 Akron              90.8    58.6    37.6    19.0
 1 Kent St.            100    48.7    29.1    17.5
 2 Western Michigan    100    72.8    35.0    14.7
 5 Ohio               96.6    52.9    21.6    11.4
 4 Ball St.            100    46.8    17.1     8.2
 3 Miami OH            100    39.0    19.6     7.1
 7 Bowling Green      69.0    19.6     5.4     1.2
10 Northern Illinois  31.0     7.6     1.8     0.4
11 Eastern Michigan    9.2     2.4     0.6     0.1
 9 Central Michigan    7.4     1.1     0.2     0.05
12 Toledo              3.4     0.2     0.01    0.0008

Last Edited: 3/8/2011 4:52:27 PM by bobcatsquared

Is the incorrectness posted here based on statistical analysis or intuition/observation?

Last Edited: 3/8/2011 10:13:29 PM by Monroe Slavin

Last Edited: 3/8/2011 10:39:00 PM by bigtillyoopsupsideurhead

Last Edited: 3/8/2011 10:43:46 PM by Donuts

Last Edited: 3/10/2011 1:42:32 PM by OUVan