BobcatAttack.com - For Fans of Ohio University Sports

Welcome Guest!
Create an Account

site search

about us

advertise with us

help

BobcatAttack.com Message Board

Ohio Basketball

Topic: Pick Em Stats

Topic: Pick Em Stats

Author

Message

Andrew Ruck
General User

Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 5,233

Status: Offline

Pick Em Stats

Posted: 2/23/2012 9:44:48 PM

I ran some numbers on the Pick Em game to see how each fan base's predicted win percentage of their own team compares to what non-fans of that team predicted, in order to determine which fan bases are most biased.

Team - Fans W/L (Non-Fans W/L) - Bias

Buffalo - .832 (.598) = + .234
Northern - .265 (.069) = + .197
Miami - .586 (.395) = + .191
Akron - .961 (.774) = + .187
Kent St - .930 (.770) = + .160
Toledo - .370 (.230) = + .140
Ball St - .696 (.557) = + .139
Central - .435 (.299) = + .136
Western - .674 (.567) = + .107
Ohio - .891 (.796) = + .095
BGSU - .418 (.384) = + .036
Eastern - .357 (.428) = - .071

As it turns out...We are some of the least delusional fans in the conference. Somewhat comical sidebar...Eastern has so few fans participating that their numbers aren't really valid. Also interesting to note that when you take fan bias out of the equation, we have been the most respected team in the conference this year with a higher predicted W/L pct than even Akron.

Also...I am not even remotely surprised by the top spot on the list and I would guess that if I ran the numbers back several years, UB would be at or near the top every year.

Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

RSBobcat
General User

Member Since: 8/22/2010
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 4,437

Status: Offline

RE: Pick Em Stats

Posted: 2/23/2012 9:58:36 PM

Andrew Ruck wrote:

I ran some numbers on the Pick Em game to see how each fan base's predicted win percentage of their own team compares to what non-fans of that team predicted, in order to determine which fan bases are most biased.

Team - Fans W/L (Non-Fans W/L) - Bias

Buffalo - .832 (.598) = + .234
Northern - .265 (.069) = + .197
Miami - .586 (.395) = + .191
Akron - .961 (.774) = + .187
Kent St - .930 (.770) = + .160
Toledo - .370 (.230) = + .140
Ball St - .696 (.557) = + .139
Central - .435 (.299) = + .136
Western - .674 (.567) = + .107
Ohio - .891 (.796) = + .095
BGSU - .418 (.384) = + .036
Eastern - .357 (.428) = - .071

As it turns out...We are some of the least delusional fans in the conference. Somewhat comical sidebar...Eastern has so few fans participating that their numbers aren't really valid. Also interesting to note that when you take fan bias out of the equation, we have been the most respected team in the conference this year with a higher predicted W/L pct than even Akron.

Also...I am not even remotely surprised by the top spot on the list and I would guess that if I ran the numbers back several years, UB would be at or near the top every year.

Thanks - very interesting. Being an NIU fan must really suck - can you imagine picking that poor a performance for your own team?

RS Bobcat

Andrew Ruck
General User

Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 5,233

Status: Offline

RE: Pick Em Stats

Posted: 2/23/2012 10:28:40 PM

And then STILL be the 2nd most biased fan base.

Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

Andrew Ruck
General User

Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 5,233

Status: Offline

RE: Pick Em Stats

Posted: 3/5/2012 8:22:34 AM

Hey - We are the champions, kind of. Technically EMU beat us for the top spot in the fan standings, but it is literally just 1 fan making picks so it is kind of tough to hand them the crown. Behind EMU at 70.7% is Ohio fansm with 1,678 correct versus 696 wrong. We edged out Akron by .002. Perhaps equally as exciting, Miami fans were dead last at 64.3%.

Good job Bobcats.

Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

bornacatfan
General User

Member Since: 8/3/2006
Post Count: 5,716

Status: Offline

RE: Pick Em Stats

Posted: 3/5/2012 10:55:58 AM

Andrew Ruck wrote:

Perhaps equally as exciting, Miami fans were dead last at 64.3%.

.

Hope springs eternal amd homerism is rampant in Oxford....suckage rules the day though.

never argue with idiots, they bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.

Winter comes and asks how you spent your summer.....

The game loves and rewards those who love and reward the game

Showing Replies:	1 - 5 of 5 Posts
Jump to Page:	1

View Other 'Ohio Basketball' Topics

There are 304 Active Visitors on BobcatAttack.com

304 Guests
0 Registered Users

There are no other users looking at this page.