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Topic: RE: Game by Game Predictions

Topic: RE: Game by Game Predictions

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BillyTheCat
General User

Member Since: 10/6/2012
Post Count: 9,901

Status: Offline

RE: Game by Game Predictions

Posted: 8/31/2024 10:33:02 AM

Victory wrote:

BillyTheCat wrote:

Victory wrote:

L.C. wrote:

cc-cat wrote:

...Will Morgan St count towards bowl eligibility?

Narrative at end of season could very well be "Ohio has got hot at the right time, winning 4 of their last 5 games to become bowl eligible" ---- but might a reflection of schedule versus growth.

interesting season awaits.

Yes, it will (if they win, of course).

cc-cat wrote:

..So general view appears to be:

9/14 vs Morgan State - 100% pick W
9/28 vs Akron - 100%
10/26 vs Buffalo - 100%
11/6 @ Kent St - 100%
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - 100%
11/29 vs Ball St - 93%
9/7 vs South Alabama - 57%
Bowl 57%
10/12 @ Central Mich 29%
10/19 @ Fiami - 7%
8/31 @ Syracuse - 0%
9/21 @ Kentucky - 0%
11/20 @ Toledo - 0%

Overall Expectation: 7.5-5.2

Interestingly, no one so far has picked Ohio to win less than 6. In my opinion, that is probably more an indicator of a lack of respect for some of the foes, rather than an indicator of confidence that Ohio will be strong. I'm actually surprised, as I expected to see at least a couple projections with only 1-3 wins.

On a board full of Ohio fans, in a game where if it were week 1 Ohio MIGHT be favored to win, it would be very close to a zero line, only 29% picked Ohio to beat CMU. They are in our heads. Even though I know it is a silly reason, the main reason I picked Ohio to lose in Mount Pleasant is that we always have. Since 1975 we are 5-27-2 against them. That's just weird because it isn't like they have been the dominant MAC program in that time frame.

I'm glad CMU showed last night but maybe that's reason to be even less optimistic. I don't know how much to read into that score though. There is a very good chance that Central Connecticut is one of the 5 worst teams in D1 that isn't non-scholarship.

Interesting take on CMU�s perceived lack of success. Since 1975 (year you give as a referenc, CMU has won 302 games, lost 219 for a 73% winning percentage. That�s pretty damngood, and willing to bet that is the best in the MAC over the same period of time.

1975 is the year they joined the MAC. I knew they had been pretty good over that time. I would have guessed without thought without looking that Toledo was the best program over that time. You may be right though.

Toledo is #1,followed by CMU, and it�s not close for 3rd

ExCat21
General User

Member Since: 9/29/2014
Post Count: 1,089

Status: Offline

RE: Game by Game Predictions

Posted: 8/31/2024 1:47:02 PM

8/31 @ Syracuse - L [37-21]
9/7 vs South Alabama - W [45-31]
9/14 vs Morgan State - W [41-17]
9/21 @ Kentucky - L [41-13]
9/28 vs Akron - W [23-17]
10/12 @ Central Mich - L [27-21]
10/19 @ Fiami - W [24-23]
10/26 vs Buffalo - W [27-17]
11/6 @ Kent St - W [44-41] 2-OT
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - L [30-28]
11/20 @ Toledo - L [27-20]
11/29 vs Ball St - W [34-24]

8/31 - Syracuse starts strong against nervous Ohio. We battle back but run out of time.

9/7 - South Bama surprises us at beginning but we settle down and take over in 2nd half.

9/14 - Passing game comes together and defense make several splash plays.

9/21 - Brock Vandagriff shows why transfer portal QB was big for UK.

9/28 - We win a slug fest of struggling offenses. Lots of defensive splash plays in this game.

10/12 - We lose a close game to a team that has our number over history. CMU just doesn't give up splash plays.

10/19 - Game winning FG on the road in a come from behind thriller.

10/27 - Defense makes big plays and offensive run game proves to be the difference.

11/6 - MACtion starts off in a 2-OT thriller. Too close for comfort.

11/13 - We go 0-2 vs directional Michigan(s) this year as Walton wins in his return to Peden. Strange calls and penalties type-of-game.

11/20 - Toledo Defense is stout against the run which forces us to throw some INTs.

11/29 - Long 4th quarter drive seals the deal to qualify for the IP Bowl game in Boise vs Nevada in a rematch of our first bowl win.

Final Record: 7-5
Bowl Game: Idaho 🥔 Bowl vs Nevada

MAC Championship: NIU vs BG

Last Edited: 8/31/2024 1:57:57 PM by ExCat21

cc-cat
General User

Member Since: 4/5/2006
Location: matthews, NC
Post Count: 3,899

Status: Offline

RE: Game by Game Predictions

Posted: 10/12/2024 10:17:49 PM

L.C. wrote:

9/14 vs Morgan State - 100% pick W - Result Win
9/28 vs Akron - 100% - Result Win

10/26 vs Buffalo - 100% -Result TBD
11/6 @ Kent St - 100% -Result TBD
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - 100% -Result TBD
11/29 vs Ball St - 93% -Result TBD

9/7 vs South Alabama - 57% - Result Win

Bowl 57% -Result TBD

10/12 @ Central Mich 29% - Result Win

10/19 @ Fiami - 7% -Result TBD
8/31 @ Syracuse - 0% - Result Loss
9/21 @ Kentucky - 0% - Result Loss
11/20 @ Toledo - 0% -Result TBD

We are a game and a half better than most expected. Looks like the next two weeks may define the season.

ExCat21
General User

Member Since: 9/29/2014
Post Count: 1,089

Status: Offline

RE: Game by Game Predictions

Posted: 10/22/2024 11:31:29 PM

cc-cat wrote:

L.C. wrote:

We are a game and a half better than most expected. Looks like the next two weeks may define the season.

It's awesome to go back and read everyone's preseason picks. OUr boys have to lock-in for the final stretch of games.

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