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Topic:  So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...

Topic:  So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/30/2018 12:20:15 PM 
Actually no. You don't have a chance.

If this isn't the most clear case of college football exclusivity, I don't know what is. NCAA basketball teams all have a chance to make the playoffs. NCAA football teams? Well, take a look...



1. Clemson Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 66 percent
Chance to win the title: 24 percent
Strength of schedule is integral to the committee's debates each week, and Clemson enters the season No. 15 in the country in SOS rank, according to FPI. Clemson faces Florida State in Tallahassee this year, and plays two SEC teams, Texas A&M and rival South Carolina. All past 16 CFP semifinalists played a regular-season schedule ranked among the top 55 in FBS. The Tigers also have a coaching pedigree working in their favor, as 13 of the 16 semifinalists had a head coach that had previously won a conference title.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance to make playoff: 47 percent
Chance to win the title: 14 percent
The Tide's strength of schedule is No. 28, according to FPI, with November games against three opponents currently ranked in the AP Top 25 (at No. 25 LSU, vs. No. 18 Mississippi State, and vs. No. 9 Auburn). Although Alabama didn't win its division last year, coach Nick Saban has still taken the Tide to the playoff in each of the past four seasons. Regardless of who emerges as the full-time starting quarterback, Alabama will have another bonus in the experience of either Tua Tagovailoa or Jalen Hurts.

3. Georgia Bulldogs
Chance to make playoff: 45 percent
Chance to win the title: 13 percent
Georgia could have an opportunity for some eye-opening wins, which has been a common denominator for the past 16 semifinalists, all of which entered bowl season with at least two wins over AP-ranked opponents. Georgia is favored by FPI to win at No. 25 LSU on Oct. 13 and against No. 9 Auburn on Nov. 10. Coach Kirby Smart was in only his second season last year when he guided Georgia to the playoff, but he does have the championship experience.

4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Chance to make playoff: 42 percent
Chance to win the title: 10 percent
Notre Dame ranks sixth in FPI thanks largely to a defense that ranked 10th in unit efficiency last season and returns nine starters. In addition, it ranks 20th in strength of schedule. A possible 11-1 record against a lineup that currently includes five ranked opponents would be nearly impossible for the committee to ignore.

5. Washington Huskies
Chance to make playoff: 41 percent
Chance to win the title: 10 percent
It starts with senior star power. Washington quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin are both Heisman hopefuls, and 13 of the past 16 CFP participants have had a player finish in the top 10 of the Heisman Trophy voting that season. Washington's SOS sits at No. 45, but the Huskies do have an enormous opportunity for a statement win in the season opener against No. 9 Auburn. Fifteen of the past 16 semifinalists had a regular-season nonconference win against a Power 5 opponent. (Ohio State lost to Virginia Tech in 2014 and still got in.)

6. Ohio State Buckeyes
Chance to make playoff: 37 percent
Chance to win the title: 10 percent
The Buckeyes still have Urban Meyer, even if not for the first three games. According to FPI, there's a 95 percent chance Ohio State wins its first two games and a 79 percent chance it goes 3-0 before Meyer's return. With four opponents currently ranked, including No. 16 TCU, Ohio State has opportunities to earn its way into the top four in spite of the offseason storylines.

7. Oklahoma Sooners
Chance to make playoff: 23 percent
Chance to win the title: 4.1 percent
The Sooners have the No. 24 SOS in the country, are favored to win every game by at least 64 percent, and have a Heisman contender in running back Rodney Anderson. Their Sept. 8 foe, UCLA, is a strong Power 5 nonconference opponent that could help separate the Sooners in a résumé debate, should they win.

8. Penn State Nittany Lions
Chance to make playoff: 21 percent
Chance to win the title: 4 percent
It starts with senior QB Trace McSorley, whose 81.5 Total QBR last season ranked ninth in FBS and second in the Big Ten. McSorley's leadership, coupled with what should be an improved offensive line, can help offset the losses of RB Saquon Barkley, WR DaeSean Hamilton and TE Mike Gesicki. The Nittany Lions are favored by FPI in every game but one, the Nov. 3 road trip to Michigan (44.6 percent chance to win).

9. Auburn Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 17 percent
Chance to win the title: 3.6 percent
None bigger than experience. Auburn ran through a nearly identical gantlet of a schedule last year and narrowly missed becoming the first two-loss team in the playoff. With a marquee opener against Washington and November road trips to Georgia and Alabama, Auburn will either play itself right in or out of the top four. Auburn also returns starting QB Jarrett Stidham, whose downfield passing was a major factor in the Tigers winning the SEC West last season.

10. Michigan State Spartans
Chance to make playoff: 15 percent
Chance to win the title: 2.6 percent
The No. 22 SOS in the country includes a nonconference game against Arizona State, a road trip to Penn State, and home games against Ohio State and Michigan. The Spartans lost only four starters from last year's 10-win team and return starting quarterback Brian Lewerke.

11. Wisconsin Badgers
Chance to make playoff: 11 percent
Chance to win the title: 2 percent
Sophomore RB Jonathan Taylor is No. 2 on ESPN's first Heisman Watch, and he will have arguably the nation's best offensive line blocking for him. If Wisconsin enters the Big Ten championship undefeated like it did last year, its chances of reaching the playoff will increase to 66 percent, along with an 11 percent chance to win the national title.

12. Michigan Wolverines
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
Chance to win the title: 1 percent
The Wolverines' SOS is currently ranked No. 4 -- four! -- by FPI, and they begin Saturday at Notre Dame. Michigan also faces Michigan State and Ohio State on the road this year. Of course, that only works in their favor if they win those games.


13. Miami Hurricanes
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
Chance to win the title: 1 percent
Coach Mark Richt led the Canes to the ACC championship last year but came up short to Clemson. FPI favors Miami in every game this season, including the season opener against LSU (65.7 percent chance to win).

14. Stanford Cardinal
Chance to make playoff: 5 percent
Chance to win the title: 1 percent
Bryce Love, Bryce Love and Bryce Love. The senior RB is leading the Heisman Watch after finishing second in the voting last year and turned down millions in the NFL to come back and get his degree in human biology -- and play a little football. Stanford also has the No. 12 SOS in the country, with road trips to Notre Dame and Washington.

Others with a chance to make the playoff: Texas (3 percent), Mississippi State (3 percent), USC (2 percent), Oklahoma State (1 percent), Florida State (1 percent)

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24515233/...
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L.C.
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/30/2018 3:22:55 PM 
If you add all those together, there is a 13% chance that someone not listed makes the playoffs.


“We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.” ― Epictetus

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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/30/2018 4:03:05 PM 
L.C. wrote:
If you add all those together, there is a 13% chance that someone not listed makes the playoffs.


But that means 85% of the teams have a combined 13% chance.
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BillyTheCat
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/30/2018 6:23:42 PM 
OhioStunter wrote:
Actually no. You don't have a chance.

If this isn't the most clear case of college football exclusivity, I don't know what is. NCAA basketball teams all have a chance to make the playoffs. NCAA football teams? Well, take a look...



1. Clemson Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 66 percent
Chance to win the title: 24 percent
Strength of schedule is integral to the committee's debates each week, and Clemson enters the season No. 15 in the country in SOS rank, according to FPI. Clemson faces Florida State in Tallahassee this year, and plays two SEC teams, Texas A&M and rival South Carolina. All past 16 CFP semifinalists played a regular-season schedule ranked among the top 55 in FBS. The Tigers also have a coaching pedigree working in their favor, as 13 of the 16 semifinalists had a head coach that had previously won a conference title.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance to make playoff: 47 percent
Chance to win the title: 14 percent
The Tide's strength of schedule is No. 28, according to FPI, with November games against three opponents currently ranked in the AP Top 25 (at No. 25 LSU, vs. No. 18 Mississippi State, and vs. No. 9 Auburn). Although Alabama didn't win its division last year, coach Nick Saban has still taken the Tide to the playoff in each of the past four seasons. Regardless of who emerges as the full-time starting quarterback, Alabama will have another bonus in the experience of either Tua Tagovailoa or Jalen Hurts.

3. Georgia Bulldogs
Chance to make playoff: 45 percent
Chance to win the title: 13 percent
Georgia could have an opportunity for some eye-opening wins, which has been a common denominator for the past 16 semifinalists, all of which entered bowl season with at least two wins over AP-ranked opponents. Georgia is favored by FPI to win at No. 25 LSU on Oct. 13 and against No. 9 Auburn on Nov. 10. Coach Kirby Smart was in only his second season last year when he guided Georgia to the playoff, but he does have the championship experience.

4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Chance to make playoff: 42 percent
Chance to win the title: 10 percent
Notre Dame ranks sixth in FPI thanks largely to a defense that ranked 10th in unit efficiency last season and returns nine starters. In addition, it ranks 20th in strength of schedule. A possible 11-1 record against a lineup that currently includes five ranked opponents would be nearly impossible for the committee to ignore.

5. Washington Huskies
Chance to make playoff: 41 percent
Chance to win the title: 10 percent
It starts with senior star power. Washington quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin are both Heisman hopefuls, and 13 of the past 16 CFP participants have had a player finish in the top 10 of the Heisman Trophy voting that season. Washington's SOS sits at No. 45, but the Huskies do have an enormous opportunity for a statement win in the season opener against No. 9 Auburn. Fifteen of the past 16 semifinalists had a regular-season nonconference win against a Power 5 opponent. (Ohio State lost to Virginia Tech in 2014 and still got in.)

6. Ohio State Buckeyes
Chance to make playoff: 37 percent
Chance to win the title: 10 percent
The Buckeyes still have Urban Meyer, even if not for the first three games. According to FPI, there's a 95 percent chance Ohio State wins its first two games and a 79 percent chance it goes 3-0 before Meyer's return. With four opponents currently ranked, including No. 16 TCU, Ohio State has opportunities to earn its way into the top four in spite of the offseason storylines.

7. Oklahoma Sooners
Chance to make playoff: 23 percent
Chance to win the title: 4.1 percent
The Sooners have the No. 24 SOS in the country, are favored to win every game by at least 64 percent, and have a Heisman contender in running back Rodney Anderson. Their Sept. 8 foe, UCLA, is a strong Power 5 nonconference opponent that could help separate the Sooners in a résumé debate, should they win.

8. Penn State Nittany Lions
Chance to make playoff: 21 percent
Chance to win the title: 4 percent
It starts with senior QB Trace McSorley, whose 81.5 Total QBR last season ranked ninth in FBS and second in the Big Ten. McSorley's leadership, coupled with what should be an improved offensive line, can help offset the losses of RB Saquon Barkley, WR DaeSean Hamilton and TE Mike Gesicki. The Nittany Lions are favored by FPI in every game but one, the Nov. 3 road trip to Michigan (44.6 percent chance to win).

9. Auburn Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 17 percent
Chance to win the title: 3.6 percent
None bigger than experience. Auburn ran through a nearly identical gantlet of a schedule last year and narrowly missed becoming the first two-loss team in the playoff. With a marquee opener against Washington and November road trips to Georgia and Alabama, Auburn will either play itself right in or out of the top four. Auburn also returns starting QB Jarrett Stidham, whose downfield passing was a major factor in the Tigers winning the SEC West last season.

10. Michigan State Spartans
Chance to make playoff: 15 percent
Chance to win the title: 2.6 percent
The No. 22 SOS in the country includes a nonconference game against Arizona State, a road trip to Penn State, and home games against Ohio State and Michigan. The Spartans lost only four starters from last year's 10-win team and return starting quarterback Brian Lewerke.

11. Wisconsin Badgers
Chance to make playoff: 11 percent
Chance to win the title: 2 percent
Sophomore RB Jonathan Taylor is No. 2 on ESPN's first Heisman Watch, and he will have arguably the nation's best offensive line blocking for him. If Wisconsin enters the Big Ten championship undefeated like it did last year, its chances of reaching the playoff will increase to 66 percent, along with an 11 percent chance to win the national title.

12. Michigan Wolverines
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
Chance to win the title: 1 percent
The Wolverines' SOS is currently ranked No. 4 -- four! -- by FPI, and they begin Saturday at Notre Dame. Michigan also faces Michigan State and Ohio State on the road this year. Of course, that only works in their favor if they win those games.


13. Miami Hurricanes
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
Chance to win the title: 1 percent
Coach Mark Richt led the Canes to the ACC championship last year but came up short to Clemson. FPI favors Miami in every game this season, including the season opener against LSU (65.7 percent chance to win).

14. Stanford Cardinal
Chance to make playoff: 5 percent
Chance to win the title: 1 percent
Bryce Love, Bryce Love and Bryce Love. The senior RB is leading the Heisman Watch after finishing second in the voting last year and turned down millions in the NFL to come back and get his degree in human biology -- and play a little football. Stanford also has the No. 12 SOS in the country, with road trips to Notre Dame and Washington.

Others with a chance to make the playoff: Texas (3 percent), Mississippi State (3 percent), USC (2 percent), Oklahoma State (1 percent), Florida State (1 percent)

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24515233/...


For years people here called for a playoff system, and every time I tried to explain that a playoff system would simply remove what little chance the mid major had, but yet, everyone just screamed louder. The current situation is a product of my warnings, and any expansion will simply further decrease the mid majors seat at the table.
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/31/2018 11:04:40 AM 
BillyTheCat wrote:


For years people here called for a playoff system, and every time I tried to explain that a playoff system would simply remove what little chance the mid major had, but yet, everyone just screamed louder. The current situation is a product of my warnings, and any expansion will simply further decrease the mid majors seat at the table.


I was with you, Billy. I was with you.
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The Optimist
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/31/2018 11:35:24 AM 
L.C. wrote:
If you add all those together, there is a 13% chance that someone not listed makes the playoffs.


13% of the time Ohio makes the college football playoff 100% of the time.


I've seen crazier things happen.

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Rufusbobcat94
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 8/31/2018 6:47:06 PM 
The Optimist wrote:
L.C. wrote:
If you add all those together, there is a 13% chance that someone not listed makes the playoffs.


13% of the time Ohio makes the college football playoff 100% of the time.


I know one reporter who would agree with you: Brian Fantana


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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 9/18/2018 12:36:11 AM 
After Week 3, 14% of FBS teams control a 99% chance to make the playoffs. Meaning 86% of teams have a 1% chance.

TEAM MAKE PLAYOFF MAKE CHAMP WIN CHAMP
Alabama 78% 55% 37%
Georgia 58% 32% 16%
Ohio State 54% 30% 15%
Clemson 50% 22% 9%
Oklahoma 49% 22% 10%
Penn State 37% 17% 7%
Washington 15% 5% 2%
Notre Dame 14% 4% 1%
Oklahoma State 11% 4% 1%
Mississippi State8% 3% 1%
Michigan 5% 2% <1%
Stanford 4% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech 3% <1% <1%
Miami (FL) 3% <1% <1%
LSU 2% <1% <1%
Auburn 2% <1% <1%
Duke 2% <1% <1%
Michigan State 1% <1% <1%


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Buckeye to Bobcat
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 9/18/2018 12:45:47 AM 
OhioStunter wrote:
After Week 3, 14% of FBS teams control a 99% chance to make the playoffs. Meaning 86% of teams have a 1% chance.

TEAM MAKE PLAYOFF MAKE CHAMP WIN CHAMP
Alabama 78% 55% 37%
Georgia 58% 32% 16%
Ohio State 54% 30% 15%
Clemson 50% 22% 9%
Oklahoma 49% 22% 10%
Penn State 37% 17% 7%
Washington 15% 5% 2%
Notre Dame 14% 4% 1%
Oklahoma State 11% 4% 1%
Mississippi State8% 3% 1%
Michigan 5% 2% <1%
Stanford 4% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech 3% <1% <1%
Miami (FL) 3% <1% <1%
LSU 2% <1% <1%
Auburn 2% <1% <1%
Duke 2% <1% <1%
Michigan State 1% <1% <1%




Can't forget the Hurryin' Hoosiers! Undefeated and are gonna pull the upset of MSU this weekend for the Spittoon!

I hope and kid, but I hope to live to see the day IU plays for a Big Ten Championship in football.
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 9/18/2018 1:00:07 AM 
Buckeye to Bobcat wrote:
OhioStunter wrote:
After Week 3, 14% of FBS teams control a 99% chance to make the playoffs. Meaning 86% of teams have a 1% chance.

TEAM MAKE PLAYOFF MAKE CHAMP WIN CHAMP
Alabama 78% 55% 37%
Georgia 58% 32% 16%
Ohio State 54% 30% 15%
Clemson 50% 22% 9%
Oklahoma 49% 22% 10%
Penn State 37% 17% 7%
Washington 15% 5% 2%
Notre Dame 14% 4% 1%
Oklahoma State 11% 4% 1%
Mississippi State8% 3% 1%
Michigan 5% 2% <1%
Stanford 4% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech 3% <1% <1%
Miami (FL) 3% <1% <1%
LSU 2% <1% <1%
Auburn 2% <1% <1%
Duke 2% <1% <1%
Michigan State 1% <1% <1%




Can't forget the Hurryin' Hoosiers! Undefeated and are gonna pull the upset of MSU this weekend for the Spittoon!

I hope and kid, but I hope to live to see the day IU plays for a Big Ten Championship in football.


Indiana isn't listed in the teams with less than 1%, but two other Big Ten teams are: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24523690/...


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Buckeye to Bobcat
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 9/18/2018 1:03:31 AM 
OhioStunter wrote:
Buckeye to Bobcat wrote:
OhioStunter wrote:
After Week 3, 14% of FBS teams control a 99% chance to make the playoffs. Meaning 86% of teams have a 1% chance.

TEAM MAKE PLAYOFF MAKE CHAMP WIN CHAMP
Alabama 78% 55% 37%
Georgia 58% 32% 16%
Ohio State 54% 30% 15%
Clemson 50% 22% 9%
Oklahoma 49% 22% 10%
Penn State 37% 17% 7%
Washington 15% 5% 2%
Notre Dame 14% 4% 1%
Oklahoma State 11% 4% 1%
Mississippi State8% 3% 1%
Michigan 5% 2% <1%
Stanford 4% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech 3% <1% <1%
Miami (FL) 3% <1% <1%
LSU 2% <1% <1%
Auburn 2% <1% <1%
Duke 2% <1% <1%
Michigan State 1% <1% <1%




Can't forget the Hurryin' Hoosiers! Undefeated and are gonna pull the upset of MSU this weekend for the Spittoon!

I hope and kid, but I hope to live to see the day IU plays for a Big Ten Championship in football.


Indiana isn't listed in the teams with less than 1%, but two other Big Ten teams are: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24523690/...




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mDLoT5sWOmE
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ts1227
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 9/18/2018 10:28:49 AM 
Rufusbobcat94 wrote:
The Optimist wrote:
L.C. wrote:
If you add all those together, there is a 13% chance that someone not listed makes the playoffs.


13% of the time Ohio makes the college football playoff 100% of the time.


I know one reporter who would agree with you: Brian Fantana




Frank Solich = Sex Panther?
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Buckeye to Bobcat
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 9/18/2018 10:39:24 AM 
ts1227 wrote:
Rufusbobcat94 wrote:
The Optimist wrote:
L.C. wrote:
If you add all those together, there is a 13% chance that someone not listed makes the playoffs.


13% of the time Ohio makes the college football playoff 100% of the time.


I know one reporter who would agree with you: Brian Fantana




Frank Solich = Sex Panther?


Only wins MAC games 60% of the time, 100% of the time?
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/1/2018 4:59:11 PM 
OhioStunter wrote:
After Week 3, 14% of FBS teams control a 99% chance to make the playoffs. Meaning 86% of teams have a 1% chance.




Sorry I skipped Week 4, but after Week 5, only 11% of FBS teams control a 99% chance to make the playoffs.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24523690/...

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giacomo
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/1/2018 8:12:00 PM 
Rigged.
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Buckeye to Bobcat
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/1/2018 8:22:57 PM 
giacomo wrote:
Rigged.


#fakenews
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/8/2018 12:48:29 PM 
90% of FBS teams only have a 1% chance at the playoffs, according to the latest ESPN Playoff Predictor: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24523690/...
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The Optimist
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/8/2018 2:17:42 PM 
OhioStunter wrote:
90% of FBS teams only have a 1% chance at the playoffs, according to the latest ESPN Playoff Predictor: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24523690/...


ESPN analytics are trash.


I've seen crazier things happen.

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catfan28
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/8/2018 6:14:58 PM 
The fact that UCF doesn't have a legitimate chance to make it is patently ridiculous. They just keep winning and no one seems to care.

They are literally the "BEST" case scenario for a G5. If they can't get in, no G5 program stands a chance.

Something needs to be done about that. G5 programs have more leverage than you might think. P5 schools don't want to play each other in the non-conference slate more than 1-2 times. G5 commissioners need to get to the negotiating table and make it happen. Not betting on it, though.
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 10/8/2018 6:29:44 PM 
catfan28 wrote:
The fact that UCF doesn't have a legitimate chance to make it is patently ridiculous. They just keep winning and no one seems to care.

They are literally the "BEST" case scenario for a G5. If they can't get in, no G5 program stands a chance.

Something needs to be done about that. G5 programs have more leverage than you might think. P5 schools don't want to play each other in the non-conference slate more than 1-2 times. G5 commissioners need to get to the negotiating table and make it happen. Not betting on it, though.


Agreed. Statistically, UCF's chance at the playoffs is the same as Ohio's right now.
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 11/1/2018 2:02:37 PM 
STAT OF THE DAY: Since the BCS formed in 1998, 13 teams from conferences outside the Power 5 structure have gone unbeaten in the regular season. None played for a national title.

Came from an interesting ESPN article on UCF's chances and the overall chances of non P5 teams: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25126820/...
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OhioStunter
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  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 11/26/2018 1:27:59 PM 
THEN (Aug. 30)
1. Clemson Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 66 percent
NOW: 96%


THEN:
2. Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance to make playoff: 47 percent
NOW: 82%


THEN:
3. Georgia Bulldogs
Chance to make playoff: 45 percent
NOW:39%


THEN:
4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Chance to make playoff: 42 percent
NOW: 99%


THEN:
5. Washington Huskies
Chance to make playoff: 41 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
6. Ohio State Buckeyes
Chance to make playoff: 37 percent
NOW: 48%


THEN:
7. Oklahoma Sooners
Chance to make playoff: 23 percent
NOW: 33%


THEN:
8. Penn State Nittany Lions
Chance to make playoff: 21 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
9. Auburn Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 17 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
10. Michigan State Spartans
Chance to make playoff: 15 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
11. Wisconsin Badgers
Chance to make playoff: 11 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
12. Michigan Wolverines
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
NOW: 2%


THEN:
13. Miami Hurricanes
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
14. Stanford Cardinal
Chance to make playoff: 5 percent
NOW: 0%

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bobcatsquared
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Post Count: 5,035

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 11/26/2018 3:56:21 PM 
OhioStunter wrote:


THEN:
12. Michigan Wolverines
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
NOW: 2%



How?
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OhioStunter
General User



Member Since: 2/18/2005
Location: Chicago
Post Count: 2,516

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 11/26/2018 4:14:32 PM 
bobcatsquared wrote:
OhioStunter wrote:


THEN:
12. Michigan Wolverines
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
NOW: 2%


How?


I don't know exactly, but I'm guessing some type of chaos that involves cats and dogs living together.

Here's the link: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24523690/...



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bshot44
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Member Since: 2/12/2012
Post Count: 2,211

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: So You're Tellin' Me There's a Chance...
   Posted: 11/26/2018 4:18:04 PM 
OhioStunter wrote:
THEN (Aug. 30)
1. Clemson Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 66 percent
NOW: 96%


THEN:
2. Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance to make playoff: 47 percent
NOW: 82%


THEN:
3. Georgia Bulldogs
Chance to make playoff: 45 percent
NOW:39%


THEN:
4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Chance to make playoff: 42 percent
NOW: 99%


THEN:
5. Washington Huskies
Chance to make playoff: 41 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
6. Ohio State Buckeyes
Chance to make playoff: 37 percent
NOW: 48%


THEN:
7. Oklahoma Sooners
Chance to make playoff: 23 percent
NOW: 33%


THEN:
8. Penn State Nittany Lions
Chance to make playoff: 21 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
9. Auburn Tigers
Chance to make playoff: 17 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
10. Michigan State Spartans
Chance to make playoff: 15 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
11. Wisconsin Badgers
Chance to make playoff: 11 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
12. Michigan Wolverines
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
NOW: 2%


THEN:
13. Miami Hurricanes
Chance to make playoff: 7 percent
NOW: 0%


THEN:
14. Stanford Cardinal
Chance to make playoff: 5 percent
NOW: 0%



Find it hard to believe Ohio State has a better chance than Oklahoma?

Unless they are saying Oklahoma has a better chance at losing their title game than Ohio State? If that's the case, this makes sense.

I think if Oklahoma and Ohio State both win ... you have to take Oklahoma.

They will have avenged their loss ... beat a good Texas team in a title game while Ohio State still has a blowout loss to a 6-6 Purdue team and beat a 8-4 Northwestern team in the title game.

All hell will break loose if Georgia upsets Bama (which is possible)

If that happens ... you're looking at this:

1. Clemson
2. Notre Dame
3. Georgia
4. Alabama

And your B1G, Big XII and Pac 12 champs are all left out. That won't sit well.

If you want to see a change to the CFP, root for this. Might be the quickest way you'll see reform in terms of expanding from four teams..
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