Enough teams are bowl eligible to fill just over two-thirds of the slots but only 18 other teams are a win away. That's seven short of the 78 slots. Mizzou is ineligible at the moment, but they've appealed, so they're on the list with an asterisk. ECU, VaTech, Hawaii, Army and Liberty have to win seven games because they play 13 and/or play more than one 1AA school.

AAC (6 slots)
In (7): SMU, Cincy; Memphis; Navy; UCF; Tulane; Temple
Close (0):
Alright (0):
Precarious (2): USF (4-5); Houston (3-6)
Out (3): UConn; Tulsa; ECU+

ACC + ND (11 slots)
In (6): Clemson; Wake; ND; Pitt; UVA; MiamiF
Close (4): L'ville (5-4); VaTech (6-3)+; BC (5-5); FSU (5-5)
Alright (0):
Precarious (4): UNC (4-5); NCSt (4-5); Duke (4-5); Syracuse (3-6)
Out (1): GaTech

B10 (9 slots)
In (8): O$U; Minn; PennSt; Wis; Ind; Iowa; Mich; Ill
Close (0):
Alright (0):
Precarious (3): Neb (4-5); MSU (4-5); Purdue (4-6)
Out (3): Rutgers; NWern; MD

B12 (6 slots)
In (5): Okla; Baylor; KState; OklaSt; Texas
Close (1): IowaSt (5-4)
Alright (0):
Precarious (4): TxTech (4-5); TCU (4-5); WVU (3-6); Kansas (3-6)

CUSA (5 slots)
In (6): LaTech; UAB; T'erd; FAU; WKU; SMiss
Close (2): FIU (5-5); Charlotte (5-5)
Alright (0):
Precarious (3): UTSA (4-5); NTex (4-6); MTSU (3-6)
Out (3): Rice; ODU; UTEP

Indies (1 slot ‒ BYU)
In (0):
Close (2): BYU (5-4); Liberty (6-4)+
Alright (0):
Precarious (1): Army (4-6)+
Out (2): NMSU; UMass

MAC (5 slots)
In (3): CMU; Toledo; WMU
Close (2): Fiami (5-4); Buffalo (5-4)
Alright (0):
Precarious (6): EMU (4-5); BSU (4-5); OHIO (4-5); Kent (3-6); NIU (3-6); BG (3-6)
Out (1): Akron

MWC (6 slots)
In (5): Boise; SDSU; Wyo; AFA; Nevada
Close (2): UtahSt (5-4); Hawaii (6-4)+
Alright (0):
Precarious (3): ColoSt (4-5); Fresno (4-5); SJSt (4-6)
Out (2): UNLV; NM

Pac12 (7 slots)
In (4): Oregon; Utah; Wash; USC
Close (2): ArizSt (5-4); Cal (5-4)
Alright (0):
Precarious (6): Ariz (4-5); UCLA (4-5); OregonSt (4-5); Stanford (4-5); WashSt (4-5); Colo (4-6)

SEC (10 slots)
In (6): LSU; Bama; Auburn; Fla; UGA; TxAM
Close (1): Tenn (5-5)
Alright (0):
Precarious (5): Mizzou (5-4)*; MissSt (4-5); UK (4-5); SoCar (4-6); Miss (4-6)
Out (2): Ark; Vandy

Sun Belt (5 slots)
In (3): AppSt; GaSt; Louisana
Close (2): GaSo (5-4); ArkSt (5-4)
Alright (0):
Precarious (4): Coastal (4-5); Troy (4-5); ULM (4-5); TxSt (3-6)
Out (1): SBama

At-large slots: Playoff (4); NY6 (2); Frisco Bowl (1)

Most bowl projections now have us in Boca Raton or the Bahamas. That seems a little cautiously optimistic but assuming we win out I think we'll get an offer.