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Topic: Game by Game Predictions
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Andrew Ruck
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Posted: 8/26/2024 11:45 AM
As always, we are sending this one out to giacomo or anyone else who thinks it is a complete waste of time to think about the future and predict outcomes and other fun tasks. And again the only rule is you can't comment on other people's picks at any point in the season unless you yourself post your picks. Ryan Carey is currently developing a script that will send lightning bolts thru your keyboard the moment you do it. He is that good of a programmer, don't risk it.

8/31 @ Syracuse -
9/7 vs South Alabama -
9/14 vs Morgan State -
9/21 @ Kentucky -
9/28 vs Akron -
10/12 @ Central Mich -
10/19 @ Fiami -
10/26 vs Buffalo -
11/6 @ Kent St -
11/13 vs Eastern Mich -
11/20 @ Toledo -
11/29 vs Ball St -

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) -
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) -

Total Record -
Andrew Ruck
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Ironcat
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Posted: 8/26/2024 11:55 AM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama -W
9/14 vs Morgan State -W
9/21 @ Kentucky -L
9/28 vs Akron -W
10/12 @ Central Mich -L
10/19 @ Fiami -L
10/26 vs Buffalo -W
11/6 @ Kent St -W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich -W
11/20 @ Toledo -L
11/29 vs Ball St -L

6-6
Scott Woods
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Posted: 8/26/2024 12:05 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - W
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - L

Total Record 7-6
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Last Edited: 8/26/2024 12:06:07 PM by Scott Woods
L.C.
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Posted: 8/26/2024 12:30 PM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
As always, we are sending this one out to giacomo or anyone else who thinks it is a complete waste of time to think about the future and predict outcomes and other fun tasks. And again the only rule is you can't comment on other people's picks at any point in the season unless you yourself post your picks. Ryan Carey is currently developing a script that will send lightning bolts thru your keyboard the moment you do it. He is that good of a programmer, don't risk it.

;)

8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - L
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - W

Total Record - 7-6

I have them starting out 2-5, but winning 5 of the last 6.
“We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.” ― Epictetus
M.D.W.S.T
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Posted: 8/26/2024 12:54 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama -L (50/50 but only because we're at home. SA will be good)
9/14 vs Morgan State -W
9/21 @ Kentucky -L
9/28 vs Akron -W
10/12 @ Central Mich -W
10/19 @ Miami -L
10/26 vs Buffalo -W
11/6 @ Kent St -W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich -W
11/20 @ Toledo -L
11/29 vs Ball St -W

My optimistic guess...

7-5, though 6-6 feels likely. I usually have a fairly good estimation of where we are as a team (I guessed 10 wins last season hiyoo), but this season is about as in the dark as I've ever been. OU is 1-11 when scoring 17 or less points since 2016. This season we wont have the defense to stop many people, do we have the offense to keep up? No idea. I have doubts.

I have high hopes for Parker, on a team returning less than 10% on offense, Parker has been in the building a long time. Time to lead. Though we have almost 0 returning WR production, we have a lot of hungry transfers ready to be the next Wiglusz. I think RHJ is as good as advertised, but if Parker can't throw it down field, or we can't get creative on offense teams are gonna put 22 in the box and if I know Albin like I think I know Albin the Tyus is gonna get 3 up the middle and the punter is gonna get a full buffet of work.

Highs:
69
RHJ + Tyus should be a strong 1-2
DB should be a strength
Brian has taken over OC
We have almost zero usable tape from the previous season to scout against


Lows:
Take your pick
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
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Posted: 8/26/2024 1:29 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - W
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - W
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - L

Total Record - 8-5

Feel like the MAC schedule is pretty conducive to us being a middle of the pack MAC team, never beating anybody better than us, and still coming out with 8 wins.
Kevin Finnegan
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Posted: 8/26/2024 2:04 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L...I'll eat my words likely in the next week, but it feels like people are a bit too high on 'Cuse right now, especially around here. I'm betting it'll end up being close, within a score or so in the 4th quarter but I don't think we leave there with a win.
9/7 vs South Alabama - W...in The Athletic's rundown of the 134 teams in order, they have South Alabama at 97 and OHIO at 98. Gotta hope that home field advantage plays well here.
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L...this one I do think will be ugly.
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - W...but not confident
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - Nah, Miami keeps us from that
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - yeah, but how can you predict these games anymore? You don't even know which of your players will opt out due to the portal. We won last year with a QB and an RB that hadn't really ever played for us. Impossible to predict this.

Regular season: 8-4. Wow, that'd be a dream.
M.D.W.S.T
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Posted: 8/26/2024 3:49 PM
Kevin Finnegan wrote:expand_more
Regular season: 8-4. Wow, that'd be a dream.
For Albin too when that auto-extension kicks in.

It should never be a low bar, but the bar for me is a bowl. Especially if we can extend one of the longest bowl win streaks in the country. This day and age you need an angle and seeing OU pop up in all those random graphics online always seems to surprise some folks. I'll happily be the place people want to end(or start) their career with some jewelry.
Ironcat
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Posted: 8/26/2024 4:50 PM
El Gato Roberto
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Posted: 8/26/2024 5:11 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L 0-1
9/7 vs South Alabama - W 1-1
9/14 vs Morgan State - W 2-1
9/21 @ Kentucky - L 2-2
9/28 vs Akron - W 3-2
10/12 @ Central Mich - L 3-3
10/19 @ Fiami - L 3-4
10/26 vs Buffalo - W 4-4
11/6 @ Kent St - W 5-4
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W 6-4
11/20 @ Toledo - L 6-5
11/29 vs Ball St - W 7-5

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - Boca W

Total Record - 8-5
BryanHall
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Posted: 8/26/2024 5:41 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama -W
9/14 vs Morgan State -W
9/21 @ Kentucky -L
9/28 vs Akron -W
10/12 @ Central Mich -L
10/19 @ Fiami -L
10/26 vs Buffalo -W
11/6 @ Kent St -W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich -W
11/20 @ Toledo -L
11/29 vs Ball St -W

An optimistic 7-5

I'll say a win in the bowl game since they won't be hurt as much by the portal

8-5
ou1982
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Posted: 8/26/2024 5:53 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - W - they are replacing a lot too.
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L - hoping to stay heslthy through this one and Cuse
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - hoping for a W but CMU seems to use voodoo against us.
10/19 @ Fiami - L - too much Redskin talent I think
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - w

Total Record - might be the kool-aid talking but 9-4. I think the floor is 5-7, maybe 4-8, but the MAC is bad and we avoid the Huskies and Western.

Think the ceiling is 8-4 for the season.
Ryan Carey
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Posted: 8/26/2024 5:58 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - W
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - W

Total Record - 8-5
Ryan M. Carey
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Victory
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Posted: 8/26/2024 8:35 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - L
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Miami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) -
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - W Um, how about, lets say, Bahamas Bowl vs. Middle Tennessee since we keep drawing them in other sports. I might as well pick us to win a 6th straight bowl while I'm at it. This is a crap shoot to pick anyway.

Total Record - 7-6

I think with all the turnover we might take a while to gel and will get out jocked vs. Syracuse and UK. South Alabama is 50/50 since we are the home team but I'd like our chances better if it were a few weeks later in the season. CMU is 50/50 and, not that past years really matters at all as far as 2024 goes, we ALWAYS lose up there so I picked CMU. We almost always beat UB & EMU at home too - not that it really matters. The rest are pretty straightforward. Akron and Ball State are home games and they aren't picked highly in the MAC. Kent is on the road but are ranked at the very bottom few teams in the FBS in almost every ranking. Toledo and Miami are road games, and games we probably need to win to have a chance in the MAC, but I don't see a lot of reason for optimism there.
Last Edited: 8/26/2024 8:45:13 PM by Victory
AlumDadDad
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Posted: 8/26/2024 8:55 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - L
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - W - I find your lack of faith disturbing.
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - W

Total Record - 8-5

Team takes time to gel, as evidenced by a 2-4 start. Revenge in Oxford in front of 3000 quiet fans in red and team goes on a roll. November loss in the Glass Bowl keeps us out of the MAC Championship.
Last Edited: 8/26/2024 9:01:48 PM by AlumDadDad
Morris Mound
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Posted: 8/27/2024 11:39 AM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - L
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - W
10/19 @ Fiami - W
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - L

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - W

Total Record - 8-5
Clown Ohio Fan
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Posted: 8/27/2024 1:02 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - W
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - L

7-6 with a bowl loss.
IceCat76
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Posted: 8/27/2024 1:10 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - W
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - W
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W


8-4

I don't care if we're 0-6 heading to Miami I can't bring myself to ever pick them to beat us.
Andrew Ruck
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Posted: 8/27/2024 2:24 PM
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/7 vs South Alabama - L
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - L
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W
11/20 @ Toledo - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Conference Champ (W, L, or N/A) - N/A
Bowl Game (W, L, or N/A) - W

Total Record - 7-6

Encouraging rebuild year, starting 2-5 and finishing 5-1 with lots of optimism going into 2025.
Andrew Ruck
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Last Edited: 8/28/2024 8:15:04 AM by Andrew Ruck
Maddog13
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Posted: 8/28/2024 1:52 AM
With NIL in play, this is an absolute Existential exercise in futility. I can't imagine that anyone of us will have any idea of how good this team is until at least the third game of the season, especially considering that we are lining up against two money rich Athletic programs in the form of Kentucky and Syracuse. Since I think that the Universe is made up of energy and that there is something convincing about the idea of tuning into the right frequency, I would say that we win all of our games in 2024, make the 12 team Playoff, and win a National Championship when Ryan Day's Buckeyes prove themselves to be as "soft" as he is. Yep, that's it! Ohm-Ohm. It's a lock, Baby!
cc-cat
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Posted: 8/28/2024 12:05 PM
So general view appears to be:

Wins: 5
9/14 vs Morgan State - W
9/28 vs Akron - W
10/26 vs Buffalo - W
11/6 @ Kent St - W
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - W

Losses: 5
8/31 @ Syracuse - L
9/21 @ Kentucky - L
10/12 @ Central Mich - L
10/19 @ Fiami - L (you never know)
11/20 @ Toledo - L

Pivotal Games: 2
9/7 vs South Alabama - L
11/29 vs Ball St - W

Will Morgan St count towards bowl eligibility?

Narrative at end of season could very well be "Ohio has got hot at the right time, winning 4 of their last 5 games to become bowl eligible" ---- but might a reflection of schedule versus growth.

interesting season awaits.
Last Edited: 8/28/2024 12:12:54 PM by cc-cat
L.C.
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Posted: 8/28/2024 12:40 PM
cc-cat wrote:expand_more
...Will Morgan St count towards bowl eligibility?

Narrative at end of season could very well be "Ohio has got hot at the right time, winning 4 of their last 5 games to become bowl eligible" ---- but might a reflection of schedule versus growth.

interesting season awaits.

Yes, it will (if they win, of course).
cc-cat wrote:expand_more
..So general view appears to be:
9/14 vs Morgan State - 100% pick W
9/28 vs Akron - 100%
10/26 vs Buffalo - 100%
11/6 @ Kent St - 100%
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - 100%
11/29 vs Ball St - 93%
9/7 vs South Alabama - 57%
Bowl 57%
10/12 @ Central Mich 29%
10/19 @ Fiami - 7%
8/31 @ Syracuse - 0%
9/21 @ Kentucky - 0%
11/20 @ Toledo - 0%

Overall Expectation: 7.5-5.2

Interestingly, no one so far has picked Ohio to win less than 6. In my opinion, that is probably more an indicator of a lack of respect for some of the foes, rather than an indicator of confidence that Ohio will be strong. I'm actually surprised, as I expected to see at least a couple projections with only 1-3 wins.
“We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.” ― Epictetus
Last Edited: 8/28/2024 12:42:22 PM by L.C.
Victory
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Posted: 8/30/2024 2:38 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
...Will Morgan St count towards bowl eligibility?

Narrative at end of season could very well be "Ohio has got hot at the right time, winning 4 of their last 5 games to become bowl eligible" ---- but might a reflection of schedule versus growth.

interesting season awaits.

Yes, it will (if they win, of course).
..So general view appears to be:
9/14 vs Morgan State - 100% pick W
9/28 vs Akron - 100%
10/26 vs Buffalo - 100%
11/6 @ Kent St - 100%
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - 100%
11/29 vs Ball St - 93%
9/7 vs South Alabama - 57%
Bowl 57%
10/12 @ Central Mich 29%
10/19 @ Fiami - 7%
8/31 @ Syracuse - 0%
9/21 @ Kentucky - 0%
11/20 @ Toledo - 0%

Overall Expectation: 7.5-5.2

Interestingly, no one so far has picked Ohio to win less than 6. In my opinion, that is probably more an indicator of a lack of respect for some of the foes, rather than an indicator of confidence that Ohio will be strong. I'm actually surprised, as I expected to see at least a couple projections with only 1-3 wins.
On a board full of Ohio fans, in a game where if it were week 1 Ohio MIGHT be favored to win, it would be very close to a zero line, only 29% picked Ohio to beat CMU. They are in our heads. Even though I know it is a silly reason, the main reason I picked Ohio to lose in Mount Pleasant is that we always have. Since 1975 we are 5-27-2 against them. That's just weird because it isn't like they have been the dominant MAC program in that time frame.


I'm glad CMU showed last night but maybe that's reason to be even less optimistic. I don't know how much to read into that score though. There is a very good chance that Central Connecticut is one of the 5 worst teams in D1 that isn't non-scholarship.
BillyTheCat
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Posted: 8/31/2024 7:54 AM
Victory wrote:expand_more
...Will Morgan St count towards bowl eligibility?

Narrative at end of season could very well be "Ohio has got hot at the right time, winning 4 of their last 5 games to become bowl eligible" ---- but might a reflection of schedule versus growth.

interesting season awaits.

Yes, it will (if they win, of course).
..So general view appears to be:
9/14 vs Morgan State - 100% pick W
9/28 vs Akron - 100%
10/26 vs Buffalo - 100%
11/6 @ Kent St - 100%
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - 100%
11/29 vs Ball St - 93%
9/7 vs South Alabama - 57%
Bowl 57%
10/12 @ Central Mich 29%
10/19 @ Fiami - 7%
8/31 @ Syracuse - 0%
9/21 @ Kentucky - 0%
11/20 @ Toledo - 0%

Overall Expectation: 7.5-5.2

Interestingly, no one so far has picked Ohio to win less than 6. In my opinion, that is probably more an indicator of a lack of respect for some of the foes, rather than an indicator of confidence that Ohio will be strong. I'm actually surprised, as I expected to see at least a couple projections with only 1-3 wins.
On a board full of Ohio fans, in a game where if it were week 1 Ohio MIGHT be favored to win, it would be very close to a zero line, only 29% picked Ohio to beat CMU. They are in our heads. Even though I know it is a silly reason, the main reason I picked Ohio to lose in Mount Pleasant is that we always have. Since 1975 we are 5-27-2 against them. That's just weird because it isn't like they have been the dominant MAC program in that time frame.


I'm glad CMU showed last night but maybe that's reason to be even less optimistic. I don't know how much to read into that score though. There is a very good chance that Central Connecticut is one of the 5 worst teams in D1 that isn't non-scholarship.
Interesting take on CMU’s perceived lack of success. Since 1975 (year you give as a referenc, CMU has won 302 games, lost 219 for a 73% winning percentage. That’s pretty damngood, and willing to bet that is the best in the MAC over the same period of time.
Victory
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Posted: 8/31/2024 9:07 AM
BillyTheCat wrote:expand_more
...Will Morgan St count towards bowl eligibility?

Narrative at end of season could very well be "Ohio has got hot at the right time, winning 4 of their last 5 games to become bowl eligible" ---- but might a reflection of schedule versus growth.

interesting season awaits.

Yes, it will (if they win, of course).
..So general view appears to be:
9/14 vs Morgan State - 100% pick W
9/28 vs Akron - 100%
10/26 vs Buffalo - 100%
11/6 @ Kent St - 100%
11/13 vs Eastern Mich - 100%
11/29 vs Ball St - 93%
9/7 vs South Alabama - 57%
Bowl 57%
10/12 @ Central Mich 29%
10/19 @ Fiami - 7%
8/31 @ Syracuse - 0%
9/21 @ Kentucky - 0%
11/20 @ Toledo - 0%

Overall Expectation: 7.5-5.2

Interestingly, no one so far has picked Ohio to win less than 6. In my opinion, that is probably more an indicator of a lack of respect for some of the foes, rather than an indicator of confidence that Ohio will be strong. I'm actually surprised, as I expected to see at least a couple projections with only 1-3 wins.
On a board full of Ohio fans, in a game where if it were week 1 Ohio MIGHT be favored to win, it would be very close to a zero line, only 29% picked Ohio to beat CMU. They are in our heads. Even though I know it is a silly reason, the main reason I picked Ohio to lose in Mount Pleasant is that we always have. Since 1975 we are 5-27-2 against them. That's just weird because it isn't like they have been the dominant MAC program in that time frame.


I'm glad CMU showed last night but maybe that's reason to be even less optimistic. I don't know how much to read into that score though. There is a very good chance that Central Connecticut is one of the 5 worst teams in D1 that isn't non-scholarship.
Interesting take on CMU’s perceived lack of success. Since 1975 (year you give as a referenc, CMU has won 302 games, lost 219 for a 73% winning percentage. That’s pretty damngood, and willing to bet that is the best in the MAC over the same period of time.
1975 is the year they joined the MAC. I knew they had been pretty good over that time. I would have guessed without thought without looking that Toledo was the best program over that time. You may be right though.
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