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Topic: Unofficial Official MACC Probabliities Thread

Topic: Unofficial Official MACC Probabliities Thread

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OhioCatFan
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Athens, OH
Post Count: 15,028

Status: Offline

Unofficial Official MACC Probabliities Thread

Posted: 11/13/2025 9:31:51 PM

I thought that all this conjecture deserved its own special thread. It's now in two different threads.

I'll start off with new projections from playoffstatus.com. You can find their full prediction here: https://tinyurl.com/2mp99j4c

The top four in terms of participation in the MACC are:

WMU -- 90%
Ohio -- 32%
CMU -- 21%
UT -- 21%

However, if we make to Detroit, they only give us a 17 percent chance of winning.

The only BLSS Certified Hypocrite on BA

"It is better to be an optimist and be proven a fool than to be a pessimist and be proven right."

Note: My avatar is the national colors of the 78th Ohio Veteran Volunteer Infantry, which are now preserved in a climate controlled vault at the Ohio History Connection. Learn more about the old 78th at: http://www.78ohio.org

TWT
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 5,316

Status: Offline

RE: Unofficial Official MACC Probabliities Thread

Posted: 11/13/2025 10:11:01 PM

My Detroit chances updated with the MAC tie-breaker rules

WMU 90% (Miami does have tie breaker, WMU has to lose out for UT/OU)
Ohio 60% (Win out and have Ball win 1 of remaining 3)
Toledo 42% (vs. Ball and @CMU not easy)
Miami 9% (Win out need both Ohio & Toledo to lose)
Ball St 6% (have to win out against EMU, @Toledo, @Miami)
CMU 4% (Win out and need both Ohio & Miami to lose)
Buffalo 3% (Win out and CMU drops 1 & BG over Akron)

Most Memorable Bobcat Events Attended
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Diamond Cat
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Post Count: 886

Status: Offline

RE: Unofficial Official MACC Probabliities Thread

Posted: 11/13/2025 10:29:44 PM

Ball-less U is a non factor. Yes, they beat us. Check out their conference only stats. Horrible. They may beat EMU but they end with 2 road games @Toledo and @Fiami. See ya.

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